Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#163
Pace66.1#209
Improvement+1.7#97

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#198
Improvement+0.5#146

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#111
Improvement+1.2#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 80   @ Virginia Tech L 53-64 22%     0 - 1 -1.5 -14.5 +13.0
  Nov 15, 2011 255   Appalachian St. W 81-68 83%     1 - 1 +4.0 -7.4 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2011 267   Troy W 81-71 84%     2 - 1 +0.4 -5.6 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2011 151   @ Charlotte W 70-69 37%     3 - 1 +5.7 -5.5 +11.1
  Nov 29, 2011 267   @ Troy L 71-79 65%     3 - 2 -10.8 -8.1 -2.6
  Dec 01, 2011 260   @ Stetson L 65-73 64%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -10.4 -17.0 +7.4
  Dec 03, 2011 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 63-72 44%     3 - 4 0 - 2 -6.3 -5.8 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2011 180   @ Tennessee Tech L 74-83 45%     3 - 5 -6.4 -2.9 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2011 255   @ Appalachian St. W 65-48 63%     4 - 5 +14.8 +2.1 +15.7
  Dec 23, 2011 51   @ Tennessee L 63-66 16%     4 - 6 +8.7 +3.9 +4.5
  Jan 01, 2012 82   @ Clemson L 58-65 22%     4 - 7 +2.4 -8.8 +11.1
  Jan 04, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate W 88-73 62%     5 - 7 1 - 2 +13.0 +3.9 +7.3
  Jan 07, 2012 115   Mercer W 76-61 54%     6 - 7 2 - 2 +15.3 +8.5 +7.5
  Jan 09, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 73-69 92%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -10.8 -5.8 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville W 72-58 61%     8 - 7 4 - 2 +12.4 +8.3 +6.0
  Jan 16, 2012 190   @ North Florida W 64-63 48%     9 - 7 5 - 2 +2.8 -1.6 +4.5
  Jan 21, 2012 216   Lipscomb L 65-73 77%     9 - 8 5 - 3 -14.4 -7.9 -6.9
  Jan 23, 2012 24   Belmont L 70-82 24%     9 - 9 5 - 4 -3.4 -6.6 +3.9
  Jan 27, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 54-58 36%     9 - 10 5 - 5 +0.8 -15.6 +16.4
  Jan 30, 2012 249   James Madison W 70-56 82%     10 - 10 +5.5 -2.5 +9.2
  Feb 04, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 64-59 81%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -3.0 +2.3 -3.9
  Feb 06, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 46-54 29%     11 - 11 6 - 6 -0.9 -11.8 +9.1
  Feb 11, 2012 190   North Florida W 65-50 73%     12 - 11 7 - 6 +10.0 -5.9 +17.1
  Feb 13, 2012 248   Jacksonville L 55-61 82%     12 - 12 7 - 7 -14.4 -12.1 -3.4
  Feb 18, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 58-80 10%     12 - 13 7 - 8 -6.6 -7.4 -0.6
  Feb 20, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb W 66-57 53%     13 - 13 8 - 8 +9.4 +1.2 +9.2
  Feb 23, 2012 260   Stetson W 72-56 84%     14 - 13 9 - 8 +6.8 -3.9 +11.4
  Feb 25, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 84-71 70%     15 - 13 10 - 8 +8.9 +4.5 +4.0
  Mar 01, 2012 190   North Florida W 68-66 61%     16 - 13 +0.4 -5.0 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2012 24   Belmont L 61-69 16%     16 - 14 +4.0 -1.8 +4.8
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%